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Retiring in 1937: $2M grew to $14.7M on a 4% withdrawal

Retiring in 1937 with $2M and a 4% inflation-adjusted withdrawal, the portfolio grew to $14.7M after 50 years. Its worst year was 1937, when the S&P 500 lost 31.2% including dividends. The 1937-38 recession, triggered partly by tighter fiscal and monetary policy, cut stock prices about in half from their early-1937 peak.

Portfolio Value: Started in 1937

100% S&P 500
50/50 stocks/bonds (Trinity study mix)
Major market event
Starting: $2,000,000 · Withdrawal: 4.0%