Retiring in 1973: $1M grew to $27M on a 3% withdrawal
Retiring in 1973 with $1M and a 3% inflation-adjusted withdrawal, the portfolio grew to $27M after 50 years. Its worst year was 2008, when the S&P 500 lost 35.2% including dividends. The 1973 oil embargo and the 1973-74 bear market cut the S&P 500 nearly in half, while inflation pushed withdrawals up fast.
Portfolio Value: Started in 1973
100% S&P 500
75/25 stocks/bonds (Trinity study mix)
Major market event
Starting: $1,000,000
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Withdrawal: 3.0%