Retiring in 1999: $1M grew to $2M on a 3.5% withdrawal
Retiring in 1999 with $1M and a 3.5% inflation-adjusted withdrawal, the portfolio was worth $2M after 27 years, as of the latest data. Its worst year was 2008, when the S&P 500 lost 35.2% including dividends. A 1999 retiree started near the top of the dot-com bubble, about a year before the S&P 500 began a 49% fall.
Portfolio Value: Started in 1999
100% S&P 500
50/50 stocks/bonds (Trinity study mix)
Major market event
Starting: $1,000,000
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Withdrawal: 3.5%